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Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toronto Awaba Stags in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto Awaba Stags.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Toronto Awaba Stags
35%
Draws
28%
South Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toronto Awaba Stags

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toronto Awaba Stags lately — more wins on the board than South Cardiff.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 14%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto Awaba Stags South Cardiff
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.74 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:1
May 9, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
6:0
Jul 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs South Cardiff
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto Awaba Stags 31 / 100
South Cardiff 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto Awaba Stags South Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Cardiff has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Toronto Awaba Stags scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Toronto Awaba Stags stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto Awaba Stags VS South Cardiff
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto Awaba Stags

(Home)
15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4
Lake Macquarie
08 Aug
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
Toronto Awaba Stags
26 Jul
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
21 Jul
New Lambton
5 : 2
Toronto Awaba Stags
12 Jul
Toronto Awaba Stags
2 : 2
Wallsend Red Devils
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South Cardiff

(Away)
15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1
South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4
Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)