Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC II vs Atlanta United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Weah P.
Assist: Wynne R.
20' Event
Carmichael R.
Assist: Wesseh G.
45'
Sibrian D.

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Toronto FC II
44%
Draws
20%
Atlanta United 2
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Toronto FC II haven't matched Atlanta United 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atlanta United 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II Atlanta United 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Atlanta United 2
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Jun 18, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Atlanta United 2
1:0
May 28, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cimermancic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weah P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmichael R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 34 / 100
Atlanta United 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II Atlanta United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Atlanta United 2 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atlanta United 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Atlanta United 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United 2

(Away)
19 Jul
Huntsville City
2 : 0
Atlanta United 2
11 Jul
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
Inter Miami II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
27 Jun
Atlanta United 2
3 : 4
Crown Legacy
21 Jun
Columbus Crew 2
3 : 2
Atlanta United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)