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Stadium Background

Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Fisher M. In: Bossenberry A.
Out: Fisher M.
36' Event
Barrow D.
Assist: Henry M.
58'
Sub
Glyut V. In: Richards B.
Out: Glyut V.

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Toronto FC II
11%
Draws
80%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Chicago Fire II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Toronto FC II haven't matched Chicago Fire II's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Chicago Fire II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Chicago Fire II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
2:3
Apr 25, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Jul 10, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC II
2:0
May 31, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrow D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayari H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chicago Fire II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 10 / 100
Chicago Fire II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II Chicago Fire II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toronto FC II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chicago Fire II has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Toronto FC II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Chicago Fire II
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717