Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Toronto FC II Logo

Toronto FC II

4 - 2
FT
Columbus Crew 2 Logo

Columbus Crew 2

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Boneau B.
Assist: Bank F.
29' Event
Stampatori D.
Assist: Stojadinovic M.
31' Event
Dixon D.
Assist: Bank F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Toronto FC II and Columbus Crew 2 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Toronto FC II
15%
Draws
34%
Columbus Crew 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toronto FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Columbus Crew 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Toronto FC II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 11%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II Columbus Crew 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:2
May 25, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:3
Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew 2
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Boneau B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stampatori D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 30 / 100
Columbus Crew 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II Columbus Crew 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Columbus Crew 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Toronto FC II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Columbus Crew 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Orlando City B
3 : 1
Toronto FC II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)