Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro 2022

Rochester New York

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II play Rochester New York in the MLS Next Pro 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toronto FC II averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Rochester New York averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Toronto FC II won 1, Rochester New York won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Toronto FC II and 1.25 for Rochester New York. This points to a Rochester New York double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Toronto FC II

15%

Draws

49%

Rochester New York

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochester New York

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Toronto FC II picked up more points recently compared to Rochester New York.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 19%

Rochester New York Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toronto FC II	Rochester New York
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	14	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	1.41	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Rochester New York

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Aug 12, 2022 MLS Next Pro

Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Jun 2, 2022 MLS Next Pro

Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sep 2, 2017 USL Championship

Toronto FC II vs Rochester New York

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jul 26, 2017 USL Championship

Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Batiz J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 36 / 100

Rochester New York 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toronto FC II Rochester New York

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rochester New York or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toronto FC II attacking → ← attacking Rochester New York

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Rochester New York let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Toronto FC II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rochester New York lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 54

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toronto FC II	24	14	10	44:38	41
2	Rochester New York	24	14	10	37:30	40
3	Philadelphia Union II	24	14	10	42:39	40
4	New York City II	24	13	11	49:35	37
5	New England Revolution II	24	10	14	27:42	33

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	24	18	6	62:22	55
2	Inter Miami II	24	11	13	40:49	36
3	Chicago Fire II	24	10	14	41:44	31
4	Orlando City B	24	8	16	40:53	25
5	FC Cincinnati 2	24	6	18	27:65	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tacoma Defiance	24	17	7	57:25	49
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	24	13	11	48:37	41
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	14	40:40	32
4	Real Monarchs	24	7	17	28:50	23
5	Portland Timbers 2	24	6	18	29:66	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	8	51:34	49
2	Houston Dynamo 2	24	16	8	38:22	49
3	North Texas	24	15	9	48:31	46
4	Minnesota United 2	24	13	11	43:39	36
5	Colorado Rapids 2	24	11	13	33:56	31
6	Sporting Kansas City II	24	10	14	31:38	31

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	24	18	6	62:22	55
2	Toronto FC II	24	14	10	44:38	41
3	Rochester New York	24	14	10	37:30	40
4	Philadelphia Union II	24	14	10	42:39	40
5	New York City II	24	13	11	49:35	37
6	Inter Miami II	24	11	13	40:49	36
7	New England Revolution II	24	10	14	27:42	33
8	Chicago Fire II	24	10	14	41:44	31
9	Orlando City B	24	8	16	40:53	25
10	FC Cincinnati 2	24	6	18	27:65	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tacoma Defiance	24	17	7	57:25	49
2	St. Louis City 2	24	16	8	51:34	49
3	Houston Dynamo 2	24	16	8	38:22	49
4	North Texas	24	15	9	48:31	46
5	San Jose Earthquakes II	24	13	11	48:37	41
6	Minnesota United 2	24	13	11	43:39	36
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	14	40:40	32
8	Colorado Rapids 2	24	11	13	33:56	31
9	Sporting Kansas City II	24	10	14	31:38	31
10	Real Monarchs	24	7	17	28:50	23
11	Portland Timbers 2	24	6	18	29:66	14