Sport Picks
Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS BMO Field, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
8'
8'
Aloko R.
Assist: Westwood A.
13'
13'
Cimermancic M.
Assist: Sargent J.
20'
20'
Toklomati I.
Assist: Abada L.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Toronto FC and Charlotte FC finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charlotte FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charlotte FC come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Charlotte FC's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Charlotte FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 13%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC | Charlotte FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC
3:3
May 16, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC
2:0
May 31, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toronto FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Cimermancic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salloi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Charlotte FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Aloko R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toklomati I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toronto FC 19 / 100
Charlotte FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toronto FC Charlotte FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Charlotte FC let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Toronto FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Toronto FC VS Charlotte FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC
(Home) 27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Toronto FC
1 : 1 New York City
19 Aug
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
15 Aug
Toronto FC
2 : 1 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 3
Charlotte FC
(Away) 26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
29 Aug
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
19 Aug
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
