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Toronto FC vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Toronto FC Logo

Toronto FC

2 - 1
FT
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Raines B.
40'
Sub
Miller P. In: Yow G.
Out: Miller P.
43' Event
Sands W.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Toronto FC and New England Revolution finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Toronto FC
15%
Draws
51%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 11%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
2:1
Jul 22, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
1:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsch N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 35 / 100
New England Revolution 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New England Revolution Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

New England Revolution has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Toronto FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS New England Revolution
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)