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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Felipe Pires
Assist: Arabidze G.
13' Event
Bukia D.
Assist: Mamuchashvili V.
21' Event
Kutsia G.
Assist: Jinjolava J.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Torpedo Kutaisi and Iberia 1999 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Kutaisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Torpedo Kutaisi
20%
Draws
51%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Iberia 1999 have produced (1.25).
  • Model gives Iberia 1999 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 18%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999
4:3
Jul 1, 2026 Super Cup
Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:3
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999
1:0
Oct 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Pires
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bukia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzagania A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 28 / 100
Iberia 1999 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Iberia 1999's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Torpedo Kutaisi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Kutaisi VS Iberia 1999
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)