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Torpedo Minsk vs Luch Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Minsk play Luch Minsk in the Vysshaya Liga 2018. Luch Minsk are favorites here. Recently, Torpedo Minsk averaged 0.39 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. Luch Minsk averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Torpedo Minsk won 1, Luch Minsk won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2018 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Torpedo Minsk and 2.06 for Luch Minsk. This points to a Luch Minsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Torpedo Minsk
18%
Draws
61%
Luch Minsk
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Luch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Torpedo Minsk picked up more points recently compared to Luch Minsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Torpedo Minsk Clean Sheet 10%
Luch Minsk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Minsk Luch Minsk
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 1 3
Draws 3 12
Losses 27 13
Goals Scored 0.39 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.54

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2018 Vysshaya Liga
Luch Minsk vs Torpedo Minsk
3:1
May 5, 2018 Vysshaya Liga
Torpedo Minsk vs Luch Minsk
0:1
Nov 11, 2017 Pershaya Liga
Luch Minsk vs Torpedo Minsk
2:0
Jul 19, 2017 Pershaya Liga
Torpedo Minsk vs Luch Minsk
0:1
Oct 2, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Torpedo Minsk vs Luch Minsk
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Minsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Luch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzhigero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Minsk 21 / 100
Luch Minsk 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Minsk Luch Minsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luch Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Luch Minsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torpedo Minsk attacking → ← attacking Luch Minsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Minsk scored in 19% of their last 31 games.

Luch Minsk let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Torpedo Minsk went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Luch Minsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 21
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BATE30234355:2473
2Shakhtyor Soligorsk30197445:1464
3Din. Minsk30189341:1763
4Vitebsk30195647:2062
5Zhodino30167736:1855
6Dynamo Brest301410652:3052
7Neman301271131:3243
8Slutsk301131626:3636
9FK Gorodeja30971431:3334
10Isloch Minsk30891320:3733
11FC Minsk30791434:4230
12FC Gomel30771616:3628
13Luch Minsk304121424:4424
14Torpedo Minsk30661820:4124
15FK Smolevichi30591621:3924
16Dnepr Mogilev30372017:5316
17Krumkachy00000:0-2