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Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow host Neftekhimik in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Neftekhimik have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Torpedo Moscow have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.69. Head-to-head, Torpedo Moscow have won 3 to Neftekhimik's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Torpedo Moscow. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Torpedo Moscow
30%
Draws
6%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow have won more games recently than Neftekhimik.
  • Win probability leans Torpedo Moscow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Neftekhimik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 85 / 100
Neftekhimik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Torpedo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Neftekhimik let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Neftekhimik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS Neftekhimik
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
23 Oct
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
R. Volgograd
17 Oct
Yenisey
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
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Neftekhimik

(Away)
25 Oct
Neftekhimik
1 : 1
Leningradets
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15 13 1 1 44:15 40
2 PFC Sochi 15 10 2 3 26:15 32
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 Ural 15 8 4 3 25:11 28
5 S. Kostroma 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
6 Veles Moscow 16 8 3 5 20:19 27
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 15 5 8 2 20:15 23
8 Ulyanovsk 16 6 3 7 21:22 21
9 Ufa 15 5 6 4 18:15 21
10 Arsenal Tula 15 5 4 6 19:29 19
11 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
12 Chelyabinsk 15 4 3 8 19:26 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Leningradets 15 3 5 7 12:26 14
15 Kamaz 15 3 4 8 19:27 13
16 Neftekhimik 15 4 1 10 11:22 13
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 15 2 4 9 11:25 10
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)