Sport Picks
Torpedo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
14'
14'
Grulev V.
38'
38'
Koledin Y.
40'
40'
Medvedev N.
AI Match Summary
Pari Nizhny Novgorod in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Torpedo Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Pari Nizhny Novgorod taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 11%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torpedo Moscow | Pari Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4:2
Feb 8, 2024 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow
4:0
Mar 19, 2023 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow
0:3
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Torpedo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torpedo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kashtanov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Grulev V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torpedo Moscow 10 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torpedo Moscow Pari Nizhny Novgorod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torpedo Moscow's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Pari Nizhny Novgorod conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Torpedo Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Torpedo Moscow VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Torpedo Moscow
(Home) 10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3 Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
08 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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Pari Nizhny Novgorod
(Away) 10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
19 Aug
Veles Moscow
3 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
