Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow host PFC Sochi in the FNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Torpedo Moscow have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against PFC Sochi's 1.75 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Torpedo Moscow slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Torpedo Moscow to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torpedo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
PFC Sochi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • PFC Sochi haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Torpedo Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow PFC Sochi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
0:3
May 17, 2025 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
3:1
Nov 22, 2022 Russian Cup
Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 85 / 100
PFC Sochi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow PFC Sochi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: PFC Sochi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Torpedo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS PFC Sochi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
19 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 1
Ulyanovsk
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
03 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
27 Jun
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
22 Jun
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 0
Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6

PFC Sochi

(Away)
19 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
12 Jul
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
PFC Sochi
03 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
26 Jun
PFC Sochi
3 : 3
Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1S. Kostroma22005:16
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod22006:36
3Torpedo Moscow22004:16
4Veles Moscow22002:06
5Ufa21105:24
6Shinnik Yaroslavl21104:24
7Ural21013:13
8Neftekhimik21011:13
9Chelyabinsk21013:23
10R. Volgograd21013:43
11Arsenal Tula21012:23
12Yenisey21012:43
13Tekstilshtik20113:41
14PFC Sochi20112:41
15Ulyanovsk20022:50
16Kamaz20022:50
17SKA Khabarovsk20021:40
18Leningradets20020:50
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)