Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Litvinov V.
13'
Kalinin I.
18'
Tsypchenko D.

AI Match Summary

PFC Sochi in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PFC Sochi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Torpedo Moscow
20%
Draws
40%
PFC Sochi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PFC Sochi haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Torpedo Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow PFC Sochi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi
1:2
Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
0:3
May 17, 2025 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs PFC Sochi
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
PFC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Borodin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

PFC Sochi Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 50 / 100
PFC Sochi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow PFC Sochi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: PFC Sochi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Torpedo Moscow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS PFC Sochi
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

PFC Sochi

(Away)
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0
PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)