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Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs R. Volgograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow host R. Volgograd in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. R. Volgograd have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Torpedo Moscow have conceded 0.76 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Torpedo Moscow slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 15, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.00) back Torpedo Moscow to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Torpedo Moscow
30%
Draws
41%
R. Volgograd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow have won more games recently than R. Volgograd.
  • Win probability leans R. Volgograd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow R. Volgograd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs R. Volgograd
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Torpedo Moscow
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs R. Volgograd
0:1
Jul 22, 2024 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs R. Volgograd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 24 / 100
R. Volgograd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow R. Volgograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torpedo Moscow scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

R. Volgograd has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Torpedo Moscow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS R. Volgograd
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
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R. Volgograd

(Away)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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