Sport Picks
Torpedo Moscow vs Veles Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
9'
9'
Shubin A.
21'
21'
Kornyushin D.
45'
45'
Smirnov O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Veles Moscow haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torpedo Moscow | Veles Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Veles Moscow
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Russian Cup
Torpedo Moscow vs Veles Moscow
3:0
May 7, 2022 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Veles Moscow
1:0
Oct 17, 2021 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Torpedo Moscow
3:5
Dec 5, 2020 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Veles Moscow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torpedo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Okoronkwo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Veles Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Tarasenko Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torpedo Moscow 41 / 100
Veles Moscow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torpedo Moscow Veles Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torpedo Moscow found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Veles Moscow has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Torpedo Moscow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Torpedo Moscow VS Veles Moscow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Torpedo Moscow
(Home) 03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
08 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 3
Veles Moscow
(Away) 04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0 Veles Moscow
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0 Veles Moscow
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
29 Aug
Tekstilshtik
0 : 1 Veles Moscow
15 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
