Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Evans R.
19'
19'
Alves J.
34'
34'
Morgan D.
AI Match Summary
Torquay in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torquay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torquay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bath City haven't matched Torquay's recent run of results.
- Torquay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Torquay Clean Sheet 20%
Bath City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torquay | Bath City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Bath City
4:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
Bath City vs Torquay
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Bath City
1:0
Aug 20, 2024 National League South
Bath City vs Torquay
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 National League South
Bath City vs Torquay
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torquay Compare
Top Goalscorer Morgan D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Evans R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Bath City Compare
Top Goalscorer Alves J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torquay 85 / 100
Bath City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torquay Bath City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torquay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bath City has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Torquay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Torquay VS Bath City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Torquay
(Home) 19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1 AFC Stoneham
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2 Folkestone
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0 Torquay
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1 AFC Stoneham
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2 Folkestone
29 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Hampton & Richmond
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 4
Bath City
(Away) 22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3 Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2 Weymouth
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0 Bath City
29 Aug
Bath City
1 : 2 Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3 Bath City
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0 Bath City
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2 Bath City
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
