Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Oliyide K.
36'
36'
Fish S.
59'
59'
Young A.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Torquay and Chesham finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torquay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torquay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesham come out ahead of Torquay on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Torquay taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Torquay Clean Sheet 17%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torquay | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Chesham
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Torquay
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Chesham
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Chesham vs Torquay
2:3
Dec 19, 2020 FA Trophy
Chesham vs Torquay
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torquay Compare
Top Goalscorer Fish S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hayfield D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliyide K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torquay 66 / 100
Chesham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torquay Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torquay found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Chesham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Torquay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Torquay VS Chesham
2 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Torquay
(Home) 08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2 Torquay
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
02 May
Torquay
4 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Chesham
(Away) 08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
