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Torquay vs Maidstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torquay host Maidstone in the National League South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Torquay have averaged 2.11 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Maidstone's 2.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Maidstone slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring Maidstone. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Torquay
20%
Draws
23%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone have won more games recently than Torquay.
  • Model gives Torquay a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Torquay Clean Sheet 17%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Maidstone
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.11 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Maidstone
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Torquay vs Maidstone
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Torquay
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Torquay
1:0
Nov 12, 2024 National League South
Torquay vs Maidstone
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 84 / 100
Maidstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torquay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torquay found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Maidstone conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Torquay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Maidstone
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
10 Oct
Torquay
5 : 1
Slough Town
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1
AFC Stoneham
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Maidstone

(Away)
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)