Sport Picks
Torre del Mar vs Arenas Armilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
19'
19'
Quesada A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Arenas Armilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenas Armilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arenas Armilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arenas Armilla lately — more wins on the board than Torre del Mar.
- Arenas Armilla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arenas Armilla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torre del Mar | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Arenas Armilla
0:1
May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Arenas Armilla
0:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torre del Mar 24 / 100
Arenas Armilla 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torre del Mar Arenas Armilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torre del Mar found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Arenas Armilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Torre del Mar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Torre del Mar VS Arenas Armilla
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Torre del Mar
(Home) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 4
Arenas Armilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | CD Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
