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Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torre Fuerte in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre Fuerte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torre Fuerte
39%
Draws
30%
24 de Septiembre
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte have won more games recently than 24 de Septiembre.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Torre Fuerte have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre Fuerte 24 de Septiembre
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
3:0
Jun 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre Fuerte 30 / 100
24 de Septiembre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre Fuerte 24 de Septiembre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 24 de Septiembre conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Torre Fuerte scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Torre Fuerte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torre Fuerte VS 24 de Septiembre
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre Fuerte

(Home)
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3
1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2
Nueva Cliza
Page 1 of 7

24 de Septiembre

(Away)
24 Nov
24 de Septiembre
1 : 3
Torre Fuerte
18 Nov
Torre Fuerte
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
10 Nov
24 de Septiembre
3 : 1
Universitario Beni
04 Nov
Universitario Beni
2 : 1
24 de Septiembre
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams