Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torreense W vs Maritimo W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Salvestrin T.
Penalty Missed
22' Event
Salvestrin T.
Assist: Lopes B.
34' Event
Heinrichs S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Torreense W and Maritimo W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torreense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Torreense W
15%
Draws
31%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torreense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Torreense W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torreense W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Torreense W Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense W Maritimo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Torreense W vs Maritimo W
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Torreense W
2:4
Jan 19, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Torreense W
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Torreense W vs Maritimo W
5:1
Feb 18, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Torreense W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvestrin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janaina Weimer
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense W 95 / 100
Maritimo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torreense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maritimo W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Torreense W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torreense W VS Maritimo W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense W

(Home)
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
02 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka W
1 : 3
Torreense W
26 Aug
Torreense W
6 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka W
08 Aug
Torreense W
5 : 2
Apolonia Fier W
05 Aug
Juventus W
2 : 1
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo W

(Away)
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)