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Torremolinos vs FC Cartagena SAD

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Rahmani Y.
46'
Sub
Delmonte N. In: Camacho A.
Out: Delmonte N.
61'
Sub
Jules J. In: Fidalgo A.
Out: Jules J.

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cartagena SAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torremolinos
40%
Draws
29%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Cartagena SAD at 1.25 per game, Torremolinos at 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 18%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Torremolinos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torremolinos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahmani Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 32 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torremolinos scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: FC Cartagena SAD conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Torremolinos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS FC Cartagena SAD
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
18 Jul
Granada CF
1 : 1
Torremolinos
11 Jul
Sevilla
1 : 0
Torremolinos
23 May
Antequera
3 : 1
Torremolinos
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
23 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 2
Betis B
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
01 May
Algeciras
2 : 2
FC Cartagena SAD
26 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)