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Torremolinos vs Gimnastic de Tarragona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 1
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Eugeni
Assist: Bakis S.
33'
Moubeke D.
45'
Almansa A.

AI Match Summary

Torremolinos host Gimnastic de Tarragona in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Torremolinos have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Gimnastic de Tarragona's 0.88 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Torremolinos have won 1 to Gimnastic de Tarragona's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.30 xG vs 1.52) point toward Torremolinos. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Torremolinos
15%
Draws
85%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gimnastic de Tarragona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Tarragona have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Torremolinos are scoring more at 1.21.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gimnastic de Tarragona taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 15%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Torremolinos
2:0
Jan 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torremolinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Top Goalscorer Eugeni
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 23 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos Gimnastic de Tarragona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Tarragona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Tarragona has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Torremolinos scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gimnastic de Tarragona's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
0.86 Goals Scored 0.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Away)
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2
Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)