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Stadium Background

Torremolinos vs Murcia

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Real J. C.
36' Event
Jorquera Romero J.
41' Event
Jorquera Romero J.

AI Match Summary

Murcia in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Torremolinos
15%
Draws
64%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Murcia have won more games recently than Torremolinos.
  • Win probability leans Murcia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 13%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos Murcia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs Murcia
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Torremolinos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torremolinos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorquera Romero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bosilj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 14 / 100
Murcia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torremolinos scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Murcia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Torremolinos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS Murcia
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
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Murcia

(Away)
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)