Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torrijos vs Noblejas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torrijos host Noblejas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Torrijos at 0.83 goals for, 1.03 against; Noblejas at 0.93 for, 1.97 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.43 xG vs 0.77) point toward Torrijos. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Torrijos
30%
Draws
27%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Torrijos have won more games recently than Noblejas.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Torrijos taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 20%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torrijos Noblejas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 58 / 100
Noblejas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torrijos Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Torrijos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Torrijos's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Noblejas has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torrijos VS Noblejas
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
0.29 Goals Conceded 2
43% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torrijos

(Home)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
Page 1 of 6

Noblejas

(Away)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)