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Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Fabra E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Torrijos and Quintanar del Rey finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quintanar del Rey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Torrijos
35%
Draws
20%
Quintanar del Rey
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quintanar del Rey come out ahead of Torrijos on wins alone.
  • Torrijos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 68%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torrijos Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.84 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Torrijos
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey
3:1
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Torrijos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torrijos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabra E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 95 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torrijos Quintanar del Rey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Torrijos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Quintanar del Rey let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Torrijos's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Torrijos VS Quintanar del Rey
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
40% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torrijos

(Home)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
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Quintanar del Rey

(Away)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)