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Torrijos vs Tomelloso

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Torrijos and Tomelloso finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Torrijos
20%
Draws
28%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Torrijos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Torrijos a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 68%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torrijos Tomelloso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Tomelloso
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Torrijos
2:1
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Torrijos
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Tomelloso
3:0
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Tomelloso
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 95 / 100
Tomelloso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torrijos Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tomelloso conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Torrijos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tomelloso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torrijos VS Tomelloso
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Torrijos

(Home)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
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Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)