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Torrijos vs UD Talavera

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 game between Torrijos and UD Talavera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torrijos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Torrijos
30%
Draws
23%
UD Talavera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Torrijos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torrijos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 20%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torrijos UD Talavera
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.86 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.16 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Torrijos
3:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs UD Talavera
2:3
Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs UD Talavera
2:0
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Torrijos
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 85 / 100
UD Talavera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torrijos UD Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Talavera let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Torrijos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: UD Talavera registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torrijos VS UD Talavera
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Torrijos

(Home)
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
17 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 1
Cazalegas
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UD Talavera

(Away)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)