Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023

Villafranca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Torviscosa play Villafranca in the Serie D - Group C 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torviscosa averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Villafranca averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Torviscosa won 0, Villafranca won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Torviscosa and 1.19 for Villafranca. This points to a Torviscosa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Torviscosa

33%

Draws

30%

Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Torviscosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Torviscosa picked up more points recently compared to Villafranca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Torviscosa Clean Sheet 20%

Villafranca Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Torviscosa	Villafranca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	11	9
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	0.9	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Torviscosa vs Villafranca

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Villafranca vs Torviscosa

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torviscosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoni T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gubellini M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fornari J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vetere M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torviscosa 37 / 100

Villafranca 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Torviscosa Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torviscosa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torviscosa attacking → ← attacking Villafranca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torviscosa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Villafranca let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Torviscosa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Villafranca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 24

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legnago Salus	34	17	9	8	48:26	60
2	Clodiense	34	15	13	6	46:31	58
3	Adriese	34	14	14	6	54:38	56
4	Campodarsego	34	14	12	8	50:40	54
5	Luparense FC	34	13	14	7	49:34	53
6	Virtus Bolzano	34	13	14	7	53:43	53
7	Este	34	13	11	10	47:39	50
8	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	15	8	38:36	48
9	Caldiero Terme	34	12	12	10	42:41	48
10	Cartigliano	34	11	13	10	47:50	46
11	Mestre	34	12	7	15	46:42	43
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	11	10	13	42:47	43
13	Montecchio Maggiore	34	10	9	15	50:55	39
14	Torviscosa	34	8	12	14	31:46	36
15	Portogruaro	34	9	8	17	36:56	35
16	Villafranca	34	8	10	16	35:46	34
17	Montebelluna	34	8	7	19	35:61	31
18	Levico Terme	34	5	14	15	23:41	29