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Stadium Background

TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kovcic A.
33'
Kovcic A.
67' Event
Stjepanovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH game between TOSK Tesanj and Gradacac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOSK Tesanj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TOSK Tesanj
20%
Draws
29%
Gradacac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • TOSK Tesanj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on TOSK Tesanj taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • TOSK Tesanj have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 68%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj Gradacac
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj
6:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac
2:0
Mar 24, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Stjepanovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gradacac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 68 / 100
Gradacac 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj Gradacac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOSK Tesanj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradacac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

TOSK Tesanj found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: TOSK Tesanj stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS Gradacac
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3
TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6

Gradacac

(Away)
10 Oct
Gradacac
0 : 1
Bratstvo Gracanica
03 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
Gradacac
26 Sept
Gradacac
3 : 1
Jedinstvo Bihac
20 Sept
Travnik
1 : 0
Gradacac
12 Sept
Gradacac
1 : 1
Sloboda Tuzla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Posusje 9 7 2 0 14:4 23
2 Travnik 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
3 Stupcanica 9 6 1 2 22:8 19
4 Sloboda Tuzla 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
5 NK GOSK Gabela 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
6 Igman Konjic 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
7 TOSK Tesanj 8 4 0 4 10:10 12
8 Bratstvo Gracanica 9 2 4 3 9:13 10
9 Jedinstvo Bihac 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
10 Banovici 9 2 3 4 10:18 9
11 Gradacac 9 2 2 5 7:8 8
12 Tomislav 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
13 Hadzici 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
14 Kakanj 9 2 1 6 5:13 7
15 Capljina 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
16 NK Vitez 9 1 3 5 6:13 6
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