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TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela Prediction & H2H Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Stjepanovic N.
60' Event
Stjepanovic N.
64' Event
Kozina M.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH 2025/2026 game between TOSK Tesanj and NK GOSK Gabela finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
TOSK Tesanj
15%
Draws
51%
NK GOSK Gabela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK GOSK Gabela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK GOSK Gabela come out ahead of TOSK Tesanj on wins alone.
  • TOSK Tesanj are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 10%
NK GOSK Gabela Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj NK GOSK Gabela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
0:1
May 17, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK GOSK Gabela vs TOSK Tesanj
3:0
May 27, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK GOSK Gabela vs TOSK Tesanj
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Stjepanovic N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

NK GOSK Gabela Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albijanic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 34 / 100
NK GOSK Gabela 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj NK GOSK Gabela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOSK Tesanj's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: NK GOSK Gabela conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: TOSK Tesanj stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS NK GOSK Gabela
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
30 Aug
TOSK Tesanj
0 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
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NK GOSK Gabela

(Away)
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
20 Sept
Posusje
1 : 0
NK GOSK Gabela
12 Sept
Hadzici
0 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
06 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
1 : 0
Gradacac
30 Aug
TOSK Tesanj
0 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celik Zenica 26 17 8 1 52:19 59
2 Stupcanica 26 12 5 9 40:27 41
3 Sloboda Tuzla 26 12 5 9 34:29 41
4 Jedinstvo Bihac 26 12 5 9 29:36 41
5 NK GOSK Gabela 26 11 7 8 36:26 40
6 Travnik 26 10 7 9 35:26 37
7 TOSK Tesanj 26 10 7 9 35:30 37
8 Hadzici 26 10 6 10 34:37 36
9 Tomislav 26 8 8 10 38:35 32
10 Igman Konjic 26 9 5 12 29:44 32
11 Banovici 26 8 7 11 31:33 31
12 Bratstvo Gracanica 26 7 10 9 26:28 31
13 NK Vitez 26 8 4 14 27:38 28
14 Tuzla City 26 5 2 19 20:58 17
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