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Tottenham vs Dortmund

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Romero C.
Assist: Odobert W.
24'
Svensson D.
37' Event
Solanke D.
Assist: Odobert W.

AI Match Summary

Tottenham in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tottenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tottenham
22%
Draws
60%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dortmund have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tottenham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 15%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Dortmund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
2:0
Mar 5, 2019 Champions League
Dortmund vs Tottenham
0:1
Feb 13, 2019 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
3:0
Nov 21, 2017 Champions League
Dortmund vs Tottenham
1:2
Sep 13, 2017 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solanke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dortmund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 19 / 100
Dortmund 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dortmund let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Tottenham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Dortmund
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal880023:424
2Bayern Munich870122:821
3Liverpool860220:818
4Tottenham852117:717
5Barcelona851222:1416
6Chelsea851217:1016
7Sporting CP851217:1116
8Manchester City851215:916
9Real Madrid850321:1215
10Inter850315:715
11PSG842221:1114
12Newcastle Utd842217:714
13Juventus834114:1013
14Atl. Madrid841317:1513
15Atalanta841310:1013
16Bayer Leverkusen833213:1412
17Dortmund832319:1711
18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:1411
19Club Brugge831415:1710
20Galatasaray83149:1110
21Monaco82428:1410
22Qarabag Agdam831413:2110
23Bodo/Glimt823314:159
24Benfica830510:129
25Marseille830511:149
26Pafos82338:119
27Royale Union SG83058:179
28PSV822416:168
29Ath Bilbao82249:148
30Napoli82249:158
31FC Copenhagen822412:218
32Ajax82068:216
33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:214
34Slavia Prague80355:193
35Villarreal80175:181
36Kairat Almaty80177:221