Sport Picks

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Tottenham vs Dortmund

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Romero C.
Assist: Odobert W.
24'
Svensson D.
37' Event
Solanke D.
Assist: Odobert W.

AI Match Summary

Tottenham in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tottenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tottenham
20%
Draws
71%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Dortmund have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tottenham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 11%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Dortmund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.3 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
2:0
Mar 5, 2019 Champions League
Dortmund vs Tottenham
0:1
Feb 13, 2019 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
3:0
Nov 21, 2017 Champions League
Dortmund vs Tottenham
1:2
Sep 13, 2017 Champions League
Tottenham vs Dortmund
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solanke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dortmund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dortmund let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Tottenham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Dortmund
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham

(Home)
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
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Dortmund

(Away)
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5
Dortmund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle Utd 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag Agdam 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)