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Toulon vs Lyon II

France France

National 2 - Group C 2022/2023
Toulon Logo

Toulon

4 - 2
FT
Lyon II Logo

Lyon II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toulon in this National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Toulon
20%
Draws
48%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon II have won more games recently than Toulon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Toulon Clean Sheet 16%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Lyon II
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Lyon II
4:2
Dec 10, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Toulon
1:0
Apr 16, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Lyon II
2:1
Nov 6, 2021 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Toulon
0:0
May 29, 2021 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Toulon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 31 / 100
Lyon II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toulon scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Lyon II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Toulon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
Page 1 of 8

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 16 8 6 37:23 56
2 Jura Sud 30 15 7 8 45:34 52
3 RC Grasse 30 14 9 7 49:33 51
4 Thonon-Evian 30 15 6 9 41:28 51
5 Lyon - La Duchere 30 15 6 9 46:33 51
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 11 12 7 32:25 45
7 Hyeres 30 11 9 10 40:33 42
8 Auxerre II 30 10 11 9 37:30 41
9 Toulon 30 11 5 14 38:41 38
10 Ales 30 11 10 9 41:36 38
11 Aubagne FC 30 9 10 11 39:46 37
12 Louhans Cuiseaux 30 9 9 12 45:47 36
13 Canet Roussillon 30 10 8 12 26:28 35
14 Lyon II 30 8 8 14 36:45 32
15 Saint Priest 30 6 11 13 38:45 29
16 Sete 30 3 3 24 23:86 12
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)