Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Toulouse play Lyon in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toulouse averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Lyon averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Toulouse won 2, Lyon won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Toulouse and 1.94 for Lyon. This points to a Lyon double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lyon has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Toulouse.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toulouse | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toulouse Compare
Lyon Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Lyon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Toulouse went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lyon lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |