Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Namaso D.
38'
38'
Hidalgo S.
73'
73'
Sub
Faivre R. In: Casimir J.
Out: Faivre R.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Toulouse and Auxerre finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Toulouse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 68%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toulouse | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Auxerre
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Toulouse
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Toulouse
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Auxerre
2:0
May 27, 2023 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Auxerre
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toulouse 41 / 100
Auxerre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toulouse Auxerre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toulouse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Auxerre let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Toulouse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Toulouse VS Auxerre
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toulouse
(Home) 19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
31 Jul
Toulouse
2 : 1 Real Sociedad
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Auxerre
(Away) 20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1 Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0 Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3 Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1 Auxerre
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
