Sport Picks

France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026

Toulouse W

0 - 3

Montpellier W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montpellier W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Toulouse W

20%

Draws

70%

Montpellier W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montpellier W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Toulouse W have won more games recently than Montpellier W.
Montpellier W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Toulouse W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Montpellier W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Montpellier W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Toulouse W Clean Sheet 15%

Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toulouse W	Montpellier W
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	2.14	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women

Montpellier W vs Toulouse W

5:1

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women

Montpellier W vs Toulouse W

1:1

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women

Toulouse W vs Montpellier W

0:3

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women

Montpellier W vs Toulouse W

1:0

Dec 16, 2012 Premiere Ligue Women

Montpellier W vs Toulouse W

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 10 / 100

Montpellier W 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toulouse W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Montpellier W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Toulouse W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Montpellier W

1.88 Goals Scored 2

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)

19 Sept

Lens W

2 : 2

Toulouse W

12 Sept

Toulouse W

1 : 2

Le Havre W

05 Sept

Montpellier W

5 : 1

Toulouse W

29 Aug

Thonon Evian W

1 : 0

Toulouse W

22 Aug

Marseille W

3 : 0

Toulouse W

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Montpellier W

(Away)

19 Sept

Montpellier W

0 : 0

Marseille W

12 Sept

Saint-Malo W

1 : 0

Montpellier W

05 Sept

Montpellier W

5 : 1

Toulouse W

29 Aug

Montpellier W

0 : 3

Marseille W

22 Aug

Lille W

0 : 2

Montpellier W

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