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Touraine vs Chateauroux

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Diarra D.
62'
Diarra D.
70' Event
Lambese S.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Touraine and Chateauroux finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Touraine
35%
Draws
13%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Touraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chateauroux carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Touraine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Touraine Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touraine Chateauroux
Matches Played 6 28
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 9
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Touraine vs Chateauroux
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touraine 40 / 100
Chateauroux 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touraine Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Touraine found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Touraine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Touraine VS Chateauroux
0.6 Goals Scored 1.63
0.2 Goals Conceded 2.13
20% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Touraine

(Home)
19 Sept
Touraine
1 : 0
Rumilly Vallieres
12 Sept
Istres
0 : 0
Touraine
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
29 Aug
Limonest
0 : 1
Touraine
30 Nov
Touraine
0 : 2
Troyes
Page 1 of 2

Chateauroux

(Away)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Hyeres 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
3 Toulon 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
4 Touraine 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Hauts Lyonnais 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
6 Troyes II 5 2 1 2 6:10 7
7 Andrezieux 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 Rumilly Vallieres 5 2 0 3 11:7 6
9 GOAL FC 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
11 Limonest 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Saint Priest 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
13 Bourges 18 4 0 4 0 1:1 4
14 Istres 5 0 3 2 2:6 3
15 Lyon - La Duchere 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
16 Chateauroux 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)