Sport Picks
Touring KE vs Derio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Touring KE host Derio in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Touring KE at 1.35 goals for, 1.26 against; Derio at 1.45 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Touring KE slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Touring KE. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derio carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Touring KE taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Touring KE | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Touring KE's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Derio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Touring KE remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Touring KE
(Home)Derio
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad C | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | UD Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Pasaia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Touring KE | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 14 | SD Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:13 | 1 |