Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Zabala O.
90'
90'
Olasagasti Guillen O.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Touring KE and Pasaia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Pasaia haven't matched Touring KE's recent run of results.
- Touring KE are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Touring KE | Pasaia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Touring KE
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Touring KE
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Touring KE Compare
Top Goalscorer Zabala O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Pasaia Compare
Top Goalscorer Olasagasti Guillen O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Touring KE 95 / 100
Pasaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Touring KE Pasaia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Touring KE found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Pasaia has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Pasaia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Touring KE VS Pasaia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Touring KE
(Home) 23 May
Leioa
2 : 3 Touring KE
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1 Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
03 May
Derio
2 : 1 Touring KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2 Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1 Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2 Zarautz KE
16 Apr
Touring KE
1 : 2 Alaves C
01 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 1 Leioa
Page 1 of 4
Pasaia
(Away) 09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1 Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Pasaia
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
29 Mar
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Pasaia
19 Mar
Zarautz KE
0 : 3 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
