Sport Picks
Touring KE vs Pasaia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Zabala O.
90'
90'
Olasagasti Guillen O.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Touring KE and Pasaia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pasaia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Pasaia haven't matched Touring KE's recent run of results.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Touring KE | Pasaia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Touring KE
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Touring KE
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Pasaia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Touring KE Compare
Top Goalscorer Zabala O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pasaia Compare
Top Goalscorer Olasagasti Guillen O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Touring KE 41 / 100
Pasaia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Touring KE Pasaia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Touring KE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Touring KE found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Pasaia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Touring KE went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Touring KE VS Pasaia
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Touring KE
(Home) 03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2 SCD Durango
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2 Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1 Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2 SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1 Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 3
Pasaia
(Away) 03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0 Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
