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Touring KE vs Santurtzi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bernal I.
87' Event
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

Touring KE in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Touring KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Touring KE
39%
Draws
31%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Touring KE have won more games recently than Santurtzi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Touring KE have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE Santurtzi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Santurtzi
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Touring KE
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Santurtzi
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Touring KE
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santurtzi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 41 / 100
Santurtzi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Touring KE scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Santurtzi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Touring KE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS Santurtzi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1
Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Touring KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
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Santurtzi

(Away)
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Santurtzi
2 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Apr
Santurtzi
0 : 3
Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugalete34246470:2978
2Leioa34187950:3461
3Derio341771054:4058
4Lagun Onak341761154:3457
5Touring KE34169947:3557
6Real Sociedad C341741348:3955
7San Ignacio341671137:2755
8Aurrera de Vitoria341661242:4154
9Alaves C341581157:4053
10UD Aretxabaleta341361556:6145
11SCD Durango3411111235:3644
12Santurtzi349121332:4539
13Eibar C34991644:5336
14Pasaia34991626:4636
15Anorga341141937:5934
16Zamudio34961942:5933
17Zarautz KE34862030:6030
18SD Deusto34672126:4925
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)