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Touring KE vs Santurtzi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bernal I.
87' Event
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

Touring KE in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Touring KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Touring KE
20%
Draws
29%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Touring KE have won more games recently than Santurtzi.
  • Win probability leans Touring KE's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Touring KE have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE Santurtzi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.42 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Santurtzi
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Touring KE
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Santurtzi
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Touring KE
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Santurtzi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 86 / 100
Santurtzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Touring KE scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Santurtzi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Touring KE has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS Santurtzi
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
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Santurtzi

(Away)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)