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Touring KE vs Zarautz KE

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ortiz J.
36' Event
Otermin U.
47' Event
Singleton D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Touring KE and Zarautz KE finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Touring KE
20%
Draws
29%
Zarautz KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Touring KE come out ahead of Zarautz KE on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Touring KE taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 20%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE Zarautz KE
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Zarautz KE
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Touring KE
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alsua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Zarautz KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Otermin U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singleton D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 67 / 100
Zarautz KE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE Zarautz KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Touring KE's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zarautz KE let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Touring KE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS Zarautz KE
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

Zarautz KE

(Away)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)