Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tours vs Cholet

France France

National 2018/2019 Stade de la Vallée du Cher, Tours
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rocheteau K.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Trabelsi S.
65' Event
Boupendza A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2018/2019 game between Tours and Cholet finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Tours
20%
Draws
24%
Cholet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tours

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Tours carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tours are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tours Clean Sheet 20%
Cholet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tours Cholet
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2019 Ligue 3
Tours vs Cholet
2:2
Aug 3, 2018 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Tours
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tours Compare

Top Goalscorer Boupendza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Trabelsi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tours 76 / 100
Cholet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tours Cholet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tours Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cholet conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tours scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tours remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tours VS Cholet
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tours

(Home)
21 Dec
Tours
0 : 3
Lorient
30 Nov
Tours
3 : 0
Cesson
16 Nov
Montagnarde
1 : 2
Tours
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
02 Aug
Tours
4 : 3
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Cholet

(Away)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 34 23 7 4 54:21 76
2 Chambly 34 18 8 8 48:31 62
3 Le Mans 34 16 11 7 38:29 59
4 Laval 34 16 6 12 51:43 54
5 Lyon - La Duchere 34 13 11 10 43:42 50
6 Boulogne 34 12 13 9 38:33 49
7 Pau 34 14 6 14 45:35 47
8 Cholet 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
9 Avranches 34 12 9 13 37:40 45
10 Quevilly 34 11 12 11 37:37 45
11 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 37:39 43
12 Villefranche 34 8 18 8 34:34 42
13 Concarneau 34 10 10 14 30:43 40
14 Tours 34 7 16 11 21:29 37
15 Bourg Peronnas 34 9 9 16 32:42 36
16 Marignane GCB 34 8 10 16 31:43 34
17 Sannois 34 5 14 15 27:46 29
18 JA Drancy 34 5 11 18 21:40 26
Promotion - Ligue 2 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2018/2019 (Relegation)