Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toyama vs Ehime

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Toyama Stadium, Toyama
Toyama Logo

Toyama

Sun, Mar 8, 2026
3 - 2
05:00 AM
Ehime Logo

Ehime

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Yamashita Y.
19' Event
Hino S.
Assist: Abe R.
28'
Takemoto Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toyama in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toyama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Toyama
15%
Draws
57%
Ehime
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ehime haven't matched Toyama's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ehime's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Toyama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Toyama Clean Sheet 15%
Ehime Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toyama Ehime
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Toyama
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Toyama vs Ehime
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Ehime
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 J2 League
Ehime vs Toyama
0:1
Oct 1, 2023 J3 League
Toyama vs Ehime
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanimoto S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Hino S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toyama 15 / 100
Ehime 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toyama Ehime

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toyama's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ehime's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ehime registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toyama VS Ehime
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toyama

(Home)
08 Aug
Vanraure
2 : 0
Toyama
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Toyama
1 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
17 May
Toyama
2 : 3
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Ehime

(Away)
09 Aug
Ehime
4 : 1
Nara Club
06 Jun
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 0
Ehime
30 May
Ehime
0 : 1
Kumamoto
23 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Ehime
17 May
Kochi United
0 : 1
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)