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Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Toyama Stadium, Toyama
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Match Events

18'
Jung Woo-Young
23' Event
Kawamoto R.
Assist: Numata T.
24'
Sub
Nakamura Y. In: Kondo Y.
Out: Nakamura Y.

AI Match Summary

Fujieda MYFC in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fujieda MYFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Toyama
35%
Draws
18%
Fujieda MYFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toyama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fujieda MYFC haven't matched Toyama's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Toyama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Toyama Clean Sheet 18%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toyama Fujieda MYFC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J2 League
Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Toyama
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 J3 League
Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC
1:4
Apr 17, 2022 J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Toyama
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Furukawa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawamoto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanemoto W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toyama 58 / 100
Fujieda MYFC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toyama Fujieda MYFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toyama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toyama scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Fujieda MYFC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Toyama stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toyama VS Fujieda MYFC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toyama

(Home)
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2
Toyama
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
26 Sept
Toyama
3 : 3
Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Toyama
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

Fujieda MYFC

(Away)
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)