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Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Toyama Stadium, Toyama
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toyama host Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in the J2 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Toyama have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's 1.37 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Toyama have won 0 to Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring Toyama. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Toyama
30%
Draws
35%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Toyama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Toyama Clean Sheet 20%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toyama Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:2
May 17, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Toyama
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 J.League Cup
Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:2
Jun 5, 2024 J.League Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Toyama
1:1
Oct 19, 2014 J2 League
Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toyama 31 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toyama Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toyama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toyama scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Toyama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toyama VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toyama

(Home)
17 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
11 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2
Toyama
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
26 Sept
Toyama
3 : 3
Yokohama FC
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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Away)
17 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 0
Blaublitz
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 11 7 3 1 18:8 24
2 Omiya Ardija 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
3 Albirex Niigata 11 6 2 3 15:19 20
4 Toyama 11 5 4 2 20:11 19
5 Yokohama FC 11 5 3 3 20:14 18
6 Shonan Bellmare 11 4 6 1 12:10 18
7 Oita Trinita 11 4 5 2 16:9 17
8 Fujieda MYFC 11 3 5 3 13:11 14
9 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 11 3 5 3 15:15 14
10 Iwata 11 4 2 5 13:14 14
11 Sagan Tosu 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
12 Tokushima 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
13 Montedio Yamagata 11 4 1 6 11:9 13
14 Blaublitz 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
15 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
16 Tochigi City 11 3 2 6 17:18 11
17 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 11 3 2 6 13:19 11
18 Imabari 11 3 2 6 14:22 11
19 Vanraure 11 3 2 6 9:20 11
20 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
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