Sport Picks

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TPS vs Haka

World World

Club Friendly
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ali Abubakar T.
37'
49'

AI Match Summary

Haka in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
TPS
30%
Draws
34%
Haka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS haven't matched Haka's recent run of results.
  • Model gives TPS a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TPS Clean Sheet 19%
Haka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS Haka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
TPS vs Haka
1:2
May 4, 2022 Suomen Cup
TPS vs Haka
1:2
Apr 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Haka vs TPS
0:1
Oct 16, 2020 Veikkausliiga
Haka vs TPS
2:1
Sep 9, 2020 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Haka
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Harjanne R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Haka Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Abubakar T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Purosalo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 36 / 100
Haka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS Haka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Haka has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

TPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Haka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
11 Jul
TPS
3 : 0
AC Oulu
04 Jul
SJK
3 : 1
TPS
27 Jun
TPS
3 : 2
Jaro
23 Jun
Lahti
0 : 0
TPS
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Haka

(Away)
17 Jul
Klubi 04
2 : 2
Haka
11 Jul
Haka
3 : 1
Ekenas IF
05 Jul
Mikkelin
2 : 1
Haka
27 Jun
Haka
0 : 2
KTP
15 Jun
SJK Akatemia
0 : 2
Haka
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