Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPS vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
TPS Logo

TPS

3 - 2
FT
Jaro Logo

Jaro

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Muzaci A.
Assist: Karkulowski T.
22'
Vidjeskog A.
30' Event
Sjogrell H.
Assist: Ness F. O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between TPS and Jaro finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
TPS
35%
Draws
9%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaro haven't matched TPS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives TPS a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS Jaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:2
May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs TPS
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Jaro vs TPS
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzaci A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zaal T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 85 / 100
Jaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

TPS's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: TPS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Jaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)