Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion

TPS

3 - 2

Jaro

Our Tip

Match Events

Muzaci A.

Assist: Karkulowski T.

22'

Vidjeskog A.

30'

Sjogrell H.

Assist: Ness F. O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between TPS and Jaro finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

TPS

Draws

Jaro

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jaro demonstrates higher offensive output (1.25 avg goals) than TPS (0.75 avg goals).
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for TPS.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Veikkausliiga provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

TPS Clean Sheet 20%

Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TPS	Jaro
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	3.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga

TPS vs Jaro

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Jaro vs TPS

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Oct 3, 2024 Ykkosliiga

TPS vs Jaro

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Jun 2, 2024 Ykkosliiga

Jaro vs TPS

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Apr 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga

TPS vs Jaro

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzaci A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Zaal T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 85 / 100

Jaro 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TPS Jaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Jaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

TPS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jaro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS Jaro

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25

38% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20:15	26
5	HJK	14	6	4	4	25:17	22
6	Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19:18	19
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16:16	19
8	Lahti	14	4	4	6	16:15	16
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18:23	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6:29	4