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TPS W vs JyPK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPS W play JyPK W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPS W averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. JyPK W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, TPS W won 1, JyPK W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for TPS W and 2.13 for JyPK W. This points to a JyPK W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
TPS W
15%
Draws
51%
JyPK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JyPK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • TPS W picked up more points recently compared to JyPK W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%
JyPK W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W JyPK W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs JyPK W
1:5
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
JyPK W vs TPS W
4:0
Oct 15, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs JyPK W
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
JyPK W vs TPS W
0:2
Jul 16, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
JyPK W vs TPS W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rantanen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

JyPK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hytonen O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sarlin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 33 / 100
JyPK W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W JyPK W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JyPK W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPS W attacking → ← attacking JyPK W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

JyPK W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

TPS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

JyPK W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EBK W15122143:938
2Honka W1593326:1230
3HJK Akatemia W1683534:2427
4HJS W1581631:2425
5JyPK W1571730:2622
6ONS Oulu W1562721:2220
7Keski-Uusimaa W1661925:3219
8KTP W15501021:4515
9TPS W1525816:3411
10Lahti W15321022:4111