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TPS W vs KTP W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W Logo

TPS W

1 - 0
FT
KTP W Logo

KTP W

Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Jamsen E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TPS W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
TPS W
15%
Draws
28%
KTP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS W have won more games recently than KTP W.
  • TPS W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TPS W Clean Sheet 12%
KTP W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W KTP W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 1
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.52 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
1:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:1
Jul 17, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
6:1
May 15, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

KTP W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 65 / 100
KTP W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W KTP W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KTP W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

TPS W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS KTP W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Aug
TPS W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
Page 1 of 6

KTP W

(Away)
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
10 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
1 : 4
KTP W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)