Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPS W vs Lahti W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kossila K.
50' Event
Velez S.
68' Event
Ignatov A.

AI Match Summary

TPS W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
TPS W
20%
Draws
23%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS W have won more games recently than Lahti W.
  • Win probability leans TPS W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TPS W Clean Sheet 17%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Lahti W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
0:0
Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:2
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
1:1
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:4
Oct 10, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Velez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kossila K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siidorov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 84 / 100
Lahti W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Lahti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

TPS W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

TPS W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS Lahti W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 6

Lahti W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 6