Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

Jazz Pori

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TPV play Jazz Pori in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Jazz Pori averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, TPV won 1, Jazz Pori won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for TPV and 1.75 for Jazz Pori. This points to a TPV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

TPV

18%

Draws

39%

Jazz Pori

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

TPV picked up more points recently compared to Jazz Pori.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

TPV Clean Sheet 12%

Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TPV	Jazz Pori
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	9
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.93	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ykkonen

TPV vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Aug 20, 2021 Kakkonen Group B

Jazz Pori vs TPV

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Jun 3, 2021 Kakkonen Group B

TPV vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 31, 2020 Kakkonen Group B

Jazz Pori vs TPV

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

6:0

Aug 28, 2020 Kakkonen Group B

Jazz Pori vs TPV

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuominen E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 41 / 100

Jazz Pori 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TPV Jazz Pori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TPV or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPV attacking → ← attacking Jazz Pori

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Jazz Pori let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

TPV went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jazz Pori lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 31

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	13	10	1	2	28:8	31
2	JJK Jyvaskyla	13	7	3	3	35:21	24
3	RoPS Rovaniemi	12	6	4	2	24:12	22
4	OLS Oulu	14	6	4	4	26:18	22
5	SalPa	13	5	5	3	28:24	20
6	Keski-Uusimaa	11	5	3	3	21:13	18
7	VJS	12	4	5	3	21:15	17
8	FC Inter Turku 2	13	4	3	6	25:37	15
9	Jazz Pori	13	5	2	6	14:20	14
10	KuPS Akatemia	13	2	2	9	20:30	8
11	KPV Kokkola	13	2	2	9	11:44	8
12	TPV	12	1	4	7	12:23	7